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Analysis

Things Look Gloomy For Paid Wi-Fi

Posted by Carlo Longino on 02.20.08 | 3 Comments

Last week, Starbucks announced that it was dropping T-Mobile, in favor of AT&T, as the Wi-Fi provider for more than 7,000 of its US locations. Along with the change of vendors comes some pricing changes — AT&T DSL and fiber customers will get free access at Starbucks, while anybody that uses a Starbucks stored-value card and spends at least $5 a month will get 2 hours of free service per day. That’s quite a change from T-Mobile’s $6 per hour/$10 per day/$30 per month.

I’ve long argued that Starbucks should free up its Wi-Fi, and stick to the business of selling coffee and all the other stuff they’ve got, and this move is certainly a big step towards that. But it’s also a nod to the realization that the paid Wi-Fi model is, for the most part, doomed by the rise of cheap 3G data service. The small number of people who pay for Wi-Fi will see little reason to keep paying for it when they can get real mobile data service for roughly the same cost, or less. (Sure, some paid hotspots in premium locations will continue to exist and even thrive, like overpriced airport food.)

I’ll be optimistic and say that this thinking played at least some role in AT&T and Starbucks’ strategy, though at $60/month, AT&T’s own 3G data plan for laptops probably remains a little pricey to be hurting too many paid Wi-Fi services just yet. But the point is that the day of cheap, ubiquitous mobile connections for laptops for anybody who wants them is coming, and is coming fairly quickly.

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