TechDirt points to Silicon Valley’s hyper-hyped “Churchill Club: Top 10 Technology Trends”. covered by Business Week.
They are:
1. Web services will evolve and create new businesses
2. Patients will demand online medical records
3. Corporate computing won’t see big changes for at least five years
4. The next big tech innovation will come out of China
5. Blogging and other online content will force traditional media to change
6. California will lead the world in embryonic stem-cell research
7. Text messaging will become more pervasive
8. New consumer technologies will appeal to more than just young hipsters
9. Every consumer-electronic product you own is about to become obsolete
10. Utility computing will keep tech spending strong
Nothing there which really makes you go “Shit, I’d never thought of that” – most are pretty safe bets really. But I guess that’s the way of these things – true paradigm busters aren’t seen until they’ve busted the paradigm, like blogging, as an example.
I think that number 7 is a little understated too. Naturally SMS will continue to grow (especially in the US) but what the mobile generally? It’s far more important potentially that the mobile is going to overtake the PC as the primary means of connecting to the net and others.
What about the (inevitable) rise to network computing and affordable devices for developing nations that I wrote about yesterday.
And nothing about wireless connectivity, LBS and RFID, to name just a few.
Well, I guess it’s always easier to critisise such a list than generate it. But it’s not a bad stab at the dark art of telling the future.
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